Forecast of winter wheat yield (Triticum aestivum L.) by the value of the NDVI vegetation index
https://doi.org/10.26897/1997-6011-2025-2-43-49
Abstract
Tis noted that productivity is an integral indicator of the condition of agricultural lands. Earth remote sensing technology is effectively used to observe plants during the growing season. The value of the NDVI spectral vegetation index can be used to predict the yield of various crops. The purpose of the study was to predict the yield of winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) based on the value of the NDVI vegetation index. The scientifi c and practical signifi cance of the research results obtained using the presented methodology can be adapted for phenological observations and studying the productivity of Triticum aestivum L. crops. in other conditions. A set of spectral images from the Sentinel-2 satellite (European Space Agency) was used for the forecast. The calculations were performed in the geographic information system QGIS (ver. 3.28.1 “Firenze”) and SAGA GIS9.3.1. According to the forecast, the yield of Triticum aestivum L. was 60.41 ± 0.06 kg/ha, the forecast error compared to the actual one was 2.2%.
About the Authors
M. S. Zverkov
All-Russian Scientifi c Research Institute of Irrigation and Agricultural Water Supply Systems “Raduga”
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Mikhail S. Zverkov, CSc (Eng), senior researcher
140483, Moscow region, Kolomna city district, village Raduzhny, 33a
57221661750 Scopus
RSCI authorid: 751258
S. S. Smelova
All-Russian Scientifi c Research Institute of Irrigation and Agricultural Water Supply Systems “Raduga”
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Svetlana St. Smelova, CSc (Bio), associate professor, senior researcher
140483, Moscow region, Kolomna city district, village Raduzhny, 33a
6504283625 Scopus
RSCI authorID: 651060
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Review
For citations:
Zverkov M.S., Smelova S.S. Forecast of winter wheat yield (Triticum aestivum L.) by the value of the NDVI vegetation index. Prirodoobustrojstvo. 2025;(2):43-49. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26897/1997-6011-2025-2-43-49
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