Potential productivity of forests of the Moscow region in connection with climatic changes
https://doi.org/10.26897/1997-6011-2023-5-118-124
Abstract
The results of long-term meteorological observations indicate that climate warming is a real phenomenon that has been accelerating significantly in recent decades. Climate change creates new conditions for forestry. The purpose of the study is to determine the potential productivity of the forests of the Moscow region and its unrealized potential in the conditions of ongoing climatic changes. The results of long-term meteorological observations are used in the work. To assess the impact of changes in the provision of heat and moisture on forests, methods based on the dependence of potential productivity on climatic factors were used. Over the past 100 years, there have been significant changes in the climatic conditions of the growth of stands, taking place against the background of increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere: an increase in the average annual temperature (more than 2 times compared to the beginning of the XX century) and an increase in the duration of the growing season (on average by 30‑40 days), changes in the annual amount of precipitation and their redistribution by seasons year. According to the calculations carried out, along with this, there has been an increase in the potential productivity of the forests of the Moscow region by 1.6 times over the past 120 years. In conditions of an increase in the average annual temperature, precipitation, and the duration of the growing season, an important task of forestry should be the adaptation of forestry measures to current changes in order to increase forest productivity and the level of provision of ecosystem services, to adapt forestry to new conditions.
About the Authors
N. N. Dubenok
Russian State Agrarian University – Moscow Agricultural Academy named after C.A. Timiryazev
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Dubenok Nikolay Nikolaevich, academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences, doctor of agricultural sciences, professor; (WOSResearchID: AAZ‑7746‑2020; Scopus Author ID: 57200111134 RSCID: 315062)
127434, Moscow, Timiryazevskaya str., 49
A. V. Lebedev
Russian State Agrarian University – Moscow Agricultural Academy named after C.A. Timiryazev
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Lebedev Aleksandr Vyacheslavovich, candidate of agricultural sciences, associate professor, (WS Research ID: AJAX‑9891‑2020; Scopus Author ID: 57214907823RINCID: 738683)
127434, Moscow, Timiryazevskaya str., 49
V. M. Gradusov
Russian State Agrarian University – Moscow Agricultural Academy named after C.A. Timiryazev
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Gradusov Viktor Mikhailovich, senior lecturer, Scopus Author ID: 57222573480; PRINCE ID: 604352
127434, Moscow, Timiryazevskaya str., 49
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Review
For citations:
Dubenok N.N., Lebedev A.V., Gradusov V.M. Potential productivity of forests of the Moscow region in connection with climatic changes. Prirodoobustrojstvo. 2023;(5):118-124. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26897/1997-6011-2023-5-118-124
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